Archive for July, 2009

Hudson on the US meltdown

Friday, July 31st, 2009

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Curb Sprawl

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009
Long Board
Creative Commons License photo credit: Dean Terry



Letter to the Age
DAVID BARKLEY
19 July, 2009

Dear Editor,

Graham Wines (Letters, 18/7) refers to the cost of urban sprawl. Some people hold land unused and grow rich while they sleep, as the land value increases.

The best way to curb the resulting outer metropolitan sprawl would be to have a flat rate land values tax. This would deter people from holding land unused to take advantage of rising prices over the years.

It would be a fair tax, as government expenditure is higher in denser areas.

The revenue could replace taxes impinging on productivity and other unfair taxes and charges. A good start would be payroll tax.

Yours sincerely,
David Barkley

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Palatial Profits

Tuesday, July 14th, 2009
Speculator - Madrid Abierto
Creative Commons License photo credit: eb0la



An interesting read in today’s Age: Palatial Spreads Kept Empty? That’s Rich

Ghost mansions and land banks are sometimes held by those planning a tennis court or swimming pool. Other people are waiting for their children to grow up. Many are speculating that the price of Toorak land will only rise.

“Some of the houses we look after, they don’t even want to rent them,” Mr Savas said. “They don’t want the hassle of a tenant.”

And that’s the rub of it. The capital gains are so great, the economic incentive to rent out the right to a roof over our head is written off. The defensive maneuver to snap up a neighbouring property is also a deft tax shelter. Titles are merged and as principle places of residence are exempt from Land Tax, the tax gain the Solomon Lew’s of the world benefit from is more per annum than what many earn in a year. This is manifested in a higher land valuation for the property.

From this comes the ability for investment loan re-financing as the leveraged value of the location increases. Thus the wealth gap. Thus the urban sprawl.

“As far as investment goes, land in Toorak is as good as you are going to get, and it’s probably the only suburb you see land banking except for in outer Melbourne.”

Talk about a defensive move by the real estate lobby – take a drive through most major new developments or any former government land sold to developers to ‘improve land supply’, and you will see vast tracts withheld to drip feed to the market such that land and housing prices are kept high.

Imagine if a restaurant could remove 1/3 of the food off it’s menu and force people to beg prices upwards? Land is the only monopoly where this can happen.

Why does the tax system actively support this?

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Hudson on Debt Peonage

Monday, July 13th, 2009



This is part 2 – check the others via Keiser’s youtube

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Anatomy of the GFC

Friday, July 3rd, 2009



Date: Thursday July 23rd
Time: 6.30pm
Venue: Frank Halkyard Library, 1/27 Hardware Lane, Melbourne
Speaker: Bryan Kavanagh, Research Associate, LVRG

Greenshoots? How bad WILL the Global Financial Crisis be? Why did our economists fail us? What’s the future of real estate? Come and hear Bryan Kavanagh dissect “The Anatomy of the Global Financial Crisis” and explain where it all went wrong.

Kavanagh, a valuer who worked in the Australian Taxation Office and the Commonwealth Bank before co-founding his own valuation practice in 1997, has the runs on the board. He forecast the GFC in the British journal “Geophilos” in 2001, and published a study of Australia’s real estate cycles, “Unlocking the Riches of Oz”, in 2007.

Come and hear Kavanagh’s latest interpretations in the warm atmospheres of our Hardware Lane abode.

RSVP appreciated
Gold coin donation to cover drinks and nibbles

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Scottish look to LVC to assist post GFC re-birthing

Thursday, July 2nd, 2009
independence
Creative Commons License photo credit: julkastro


Britain looks westward for tips on tarting up its towns

As published in The Economist

ACRES of flourishing weeds adorn derelict docks and warehouses on Edinburgh’s northern shoreline by the river Forth. Two years ago city planners were busily drawing up 30-year projects to build 30,000 houses, as well as hotels, offices, shops and parks on the waterfront. Then the credit crunch hit. Now plastic sheeting shrouds a bankrupt developer’s half-built luxury flats. Forth Ports, the docks company, has written down the value of much of its extensive landholding to zero.

City bosses, however, think they can get things going again. Their immediate problem is finding the £484m ($799m) they reckon is needed to build roads, schools and other public facilities. In the boom years, local authorities routinely demanded and got a big slice of that money upfront from property developers. These “developer contributions” have now disappeared, and recession means that Edinburgh, like most councils, cannot sell surplus land and property to fill the hole.

The city’s solution is to copy a 50-year old American approach: the unlovely sounding tax-increment financing (TIF). The idea is to draw a boundary round an area, borrow to pay for basic infrastructure and repay the loan from the increase in property-tax revenues inside the redeveloped zone as private firms start building.

Edinburgh hopes to test out TIFs on a square kilometre in the suburb of Leith, borrowing £50m to build roads, a dock for mooted cross-river ferries and a new pier for the former royal yacht Britannia, now a tourist attraction moored behind a modest shopping centre. Dave Anderson, the city’s development director, hopes that 2,200 houses, plus shops and offices, will follow. PricewaterhouseCoopers, an accounting firm, reckons all this will pull in an extra £280m in business rates (property taxes) over the next 30 years, more than enough to repay the loan.

Scotland’s devolved government is keenly interested in these TIF plans and so is Alistair Darling, Britain’s chancellor of the exchequer. After he intimated in April that he would entertain the notion of TIFs (business rates are collected nationally and handed back to local governments, so the law would need amending), lots of city councils have come up with ideas for them. Newcastle wants one to build a “science city” geared towards commercialising university research. Leeds hopes a TIF will accelerate growth as it tries to create 20,000 jobs in its Aire Valley business park. Birmingham, thinking big as usual, plans to raise £1 billion for seven road and rail schemes across the West Midlands.

The bravura of this last vision suggests how TIFs can get out of hand. Chicago now has 158 such zones, covering 29% of its land and 13% of its property by value. Mike Jasso of the city’s community-development department says that businesses were leaving Chicago’s Loop before it became a TIF district in the 1980s; now the zone is thriving. Others are much more sceptical, contending that many successful TIF schemes are in areas that would have attracted investment anyway. Rachel Weber, of the University of Illinois at Chicago, thinks TIFs make Chicago’s “dysfunctional system of quid-pro-quo politics more dysfunctional”. Every local politician wants a TIF in his district, and developers are eager to contribute to campaigns in the hope of securing support for their projects. In April the city council passed a measure that will, at the very least, increase transparency.

Mr Darling, whose officials will be discussing TIFs with developers and councillors before long, is likely to worry that TIFs are just another way to increase ballooning public debt. Most preliminary studies assume that, because banks and investors are leery of investing in property these days, the loans will have to come from the government. Having bailed out HBOS, an overextended property lender, just last year, Mr Darling may hesitate to plunge further into that line of business. Recession itself could also prove too big a hurdle: in Chicago, TIF-district tax revenues are slowing, and so is building work. Tempting though it is, borrowing against future revenues may not be the magic wand that Britain’s city bosses are hoping for.

Comment: Chicago’s example shows why a blanket Land Value Capture reform is better across the whole community. Projects then develop in areas with the highest need, rather than those with biggest brown paper bags. Reduce Payroll and Stamp Duties, increase holding charges on land, whatever they are called – Site Rental, Land Value Capture, Land Tax, Council Rates or TIF’s.

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