Posts Tagged ‘boom-bust’

Housing bubble trouble: separating facts from fiction

Friday, January 27th, 2012

Reprinted from academic e-zine The Conversation In a previous article, I analysed four of the common arguments used by those who deny there is a bubble in Australia’s residential property market. The bubble deniers have employed other explanations for the largest run-up in prices in Australia’s 131 years of land sales records. Restrictive government regulations [...]

A New Year’s Resolution – Don’t Buy Now!

Tuesday, January 10th, 2012

The Australian property market ended 2011 on the ground in a foetal position after a serious assault by Harsh Reality. Symptoms include: • A year’s supply of unsold houses on the market • Low and falling building applications • Low and falling finance approvals • Failing auctions nationwide • First home buyer indifference • Universal [...]

Change or suffer

Tuesday, December 13th, 2011

Australian land prices are falling. They will continue to fall until their fundamental economic link to incomes and rents are fully restored. Many with large mortgages will be crushed by these towering liabilities when their equity is erased. This claim is bitterly resisted by the politico-housing complex and most homeowners, who see the exponential land [...]

No more levers to pull

Wednesday, November 23rd, 2011

photo credit: Elsie esq. Australian property prices are so over-valued their return to the long term trend will make the painful bubble burst in the USA look like a child’s picnic. Government, major banks and property speculators used every tool in reach to keep alive this Ponzi scheme – Hyman Minsky’s term for borrowers reliant [...]

Melbourne ‘Stale Stock’ getting smelly

Thursday, November 17th, 2011

photo credit: Ennor 17 November 2011 MELBOURNE:- The number of unsold properties in Melbourne has risen another 6.2 per cent in the last month, following a 20.4 per cent rise earlier, and an 18 per cent rise the month before that. “’Stale Stock’ on the market is up a net 51 per cent in three [...]

A nation renting

Wednesday, November 16th, 2011

“No Visible Means of Support”

Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

photo credit: DrWurm A term employed in Vagrancy statutes to test whether an individual has any apparent ability to provide for himself or herself financially. The Law frowns upon people who make their living outside formal employment. Yet it bows deep before land and property. Irrational confidence has inflated property prices so far they bear [...]

Time to buy an Italian sports car – not

Tuesday, October 25th, 2011

The currently deflating land bubble will erase wealth with dazzling speed. Sadly, striking falls in land values will have a greater impact on Australian wealth than any other advanced country.

House price falls steeper that the US

Tuesday, October 18th, 2011

18 October 2011 MELBOURNE:- “House prices are falling in Melbourne faster than US prices did when that property bubble burst,” Prosper Australia Campaign Manager David Collyer said today. “The enormous housing oversupply and sudden buyer caution have dramatically switched the Australian trend. Anyone standing aside from the market will have saved themselves an average $50,000 [...]

The warnings come thick and loud

Tuesday, October 11th, 2011

photo credit: tm-tm On Sunday 9 October, The Sunday Age published an article by Chris Vedelago Buyers Nibble but No Big Bite. I would link, but can’t see it in The Age online. Here are the money quotes: “But a survey conducted by The Sunday Age found that only 35 per cent of properties actually [...]